September 11, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shiitake | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sancho Del Pueblo | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shotmaster | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proudmiamicitizen | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Final Blessing | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Clemen | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guyanese | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeddo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Atina Salsa | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Special Risk | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Makeyourselfathome | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Racey Bike | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bourbon Honey | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellamy Cat | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Star Lo | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Informality | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Salinger | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Corsario | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Spartan Pride | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Staynsidethecircle | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lori’s Folly | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sea Swap | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jacopone | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pumpkin Star | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sir Sidney | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Forum | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No More Music | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Tocayo | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Park Avenue Appeal | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ask Chuck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cape May Ferry | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | We Can Dance | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Butch Cassidy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Now | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Only the Truth | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Family Crest | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | His Reins of Fire | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Rocket | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Games | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cause for Surprise | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ruble | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Pooch | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King Dublin | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Credo | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | He’s Cotton | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jack O Liam | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chelios | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dunph | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Winning Drive | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | M G Broker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Lucky Lee | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Xy Speed | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11A | 8 | Jury Duty | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lyze Ruth | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Hoskins | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Vero Sun | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Don Polo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Black Light | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Command Post | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock and Fellers (ARG) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Different Style | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Razzo | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Y Gold (ARG) | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Brix | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Dragon Tattoo | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Monster | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Deep Canyon | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Argumentative | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rigel’s Halo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Not in the Mood | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wise Trade | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Timely Pleasure | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rewrite the Rules | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Nureyevs Ballerina | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carole’s Rainbow | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gun Powder Red | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Saturdays Game | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.