September 9, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Big Shack |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Blazin Drama |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Zeppelin Ride |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Zaptuit |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Mischief Night |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Arch Contender |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
3 |
Red Mist (ARG) |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Brilliant Worth |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
4 |
Just a Farmer |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Perfume Lady |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
I Cried a Tear |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Betty’s Favorite |
1.40 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
High Math |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Bird of Prey |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Anita Lass |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Hello Moon |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Anna May Our Queen |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Stay West |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Don’t Tell Vanessa |
0.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
1 |
Initforthelonghaul |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Lookingforanewspot |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
Congressionalstorm |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Alliya’s Story |
0.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jill Madden |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vested Venture |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kodiak Katie |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clarista |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hola Princess |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mantle |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Loco Lobo |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Freedom Matters |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Fairlee Boys |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Midnight Honey |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Man Pots N Pans |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hay Boy |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Little Vinnie |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
High Sierra |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Moon Chant |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Tearless |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Cruisewithbrandon |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Sun of Tara |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Delightful Lana |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Sweet Turn |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
8 |
Mzima Springs |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Lovely Time |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
7 |
Miss Al Dila |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
5 |
Singing Sarah |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
6 |
Tale of Promise |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Cowboy Mz |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mr Atila |
1.40 |
2 |
4-1 |
3A |
3 |
Ruby Bleu |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5A |
4 |
Graves Island |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Will Munnings |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Smooth B |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Tairneach |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Tighten Up |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Grandpa Len |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Texas Two Step |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
No Contingency |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Baby Cat |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Lunar Rover |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Afleet Martini |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Pharaoh’s City |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Puppy Manners |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Final Ritual |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
This Might Be |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.