September 9, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Holiday | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Ebony Star | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Avail | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Melody | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coco Smooches | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thames Valley | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dancindyclear | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twitterati | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Party All Night | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romolina | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bam Bams Lil River | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gee Cee Cee | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Resolution | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gypsy’s Rule | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Linda | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Rachel | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Millie Joel | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Diva | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Proof | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B K Miss | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Singleforthesummer | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whooping Jay | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poppy’s C Note | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nutty Sierra | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Give Me the Lute | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Lucky | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spendaholic | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rocinante | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Ray | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain N. Barron | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Machete | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Minister | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Gladiator | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scorpio | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crimson Charger | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Downside Up | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zapana’s Game | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinematico | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rhettbutler | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Michael Mundo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Pegasus | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Katzumoto | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamic Duo | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Friendly Steve | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Hit | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Seeker | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serve Me a Double | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hollywood Sky | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Working | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Optimum | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Severin | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tandy’s Big Sky | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spirit World | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Curly’s Waterfront | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Typhoon Harry | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Soot | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Son of a Royal | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Johann’s Command | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Canadian Warrior | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Beloved Holiday | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Conquest Flatterme | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Sophie | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tyfosha | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vallestina | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diamondsandpearls | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kentan Road | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Late ‘n Left | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demigoddess | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Media Tone | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belligerent | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dutch Mama | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.