September 9, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blameitonthekiss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Golden Aces | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sundrenched | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dah Philly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Classy to D’ Bone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Say Yes Di Di | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Ask Stacy | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Comfy and Cozy | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Better Yet | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Del’s Beauty | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Louise | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eye of the Wildcat | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bunker | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parched Ghost | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlet Tanager | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Thread | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Shall Not Pass | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dundalk | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | No More Talk | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | I Ain’t Never | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Available | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Get the W | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cobh | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Matter of Factor | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Capt. Grider | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Red Clay Road | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chateau | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Delinquent | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Good Man | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Me Off | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Step | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Factor | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monumental Vending | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Three’s the Charm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Slot Receiver | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Floating Ballerino (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sadler Bay | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | City Gold | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | The Walk | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Chinquapin | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chocomount | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Broad Expanse | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Love You Much | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bay Bridge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Daddy’s Cozy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Daniel Le Deux | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zen’s Land | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Beltway Bob | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Victory Chimes | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Redeemed Gentleman | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dragonthorn Steed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Crush It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Quality Choice | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Keoni | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cabinet Pik | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brusilov | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Noon Lute | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Voyage | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kid Jeter | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Jerry | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Barin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Ticker Tape Parade | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Falcon | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Bellows | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Macue | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Bad Angle Burke | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Whiskey Wu | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fillupcohensapiker | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prospective Lady | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Nosy | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Follow the Petals | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormologist | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Niki | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tachyon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Carbonated | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | You’re No Better (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sir Smarty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Haz a Notion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Paul the Waiter | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mojo’s Louie Cat | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Titanium Love | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Art of Listening | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Guthries Collar | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.