September 9, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arewehavingfunyet | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Barbarian | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Kindness | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woundwithhereyes | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caoimhe | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Letterman | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shiny Copper Penny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Strategic Outlook | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eagle Pass | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clyde’s Runner | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Never Nevermore | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Duncastle | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Vettel | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aurelius Maximus | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empire of War | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fullness of Time | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cotton House | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pointer View | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seize | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Black Tide | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Rock | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fear | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mai Ty One On | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blessed Halo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hay Field | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Picture Day | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full House | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pacific Gale | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lezendary | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden State | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Honor Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | We Should Talk | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mascarello | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Manoffire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hoboe | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Papa Shot | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Diddley | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Broadway Bay | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brimstone | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Looking At Bikinis | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bring the Dough | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Larceny | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strong One | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cutting Humor | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Family Biz | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Championship Alley | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jake Rocks | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Royal Delta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Frostie Anne | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Divine Miss Grey | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Berned | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Need to Appeal | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Come Dancing | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sneaky Betty | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamcall | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Herecomesthejudge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Doups Point | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pipes | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waynes Footsteps | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impazible Odds | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Icey Cash | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Awesome Adversary | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.