September 8, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lutenanny | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Gal | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promise Me Roses | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party in the Sand | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gentle Annie | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild With Style | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Needs No Ice | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Thought | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Page | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Cousin Lou | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sumner | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Karma Delight | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extinct Charm | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Missbigtimes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Something Joyful | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Quietly Quick | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Andretta | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carrera Cat | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dorothy’s Dream | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magical Romance | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Allied Forces S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gidu (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dirty | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | World of Trouble | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weather Report | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reed Kan | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Colonel Tom | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Totally Boss | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zap Zap Zap | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretentious | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hokulea | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truly a Moon Shot | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cavallotto | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Appealing Henry | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ninetyeighttwo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quai Voltaire | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fun Prospect | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charreada | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Semper Sententiae | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Windjammer (GER) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beau Belle | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frankly J’ray | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Know Point Given | 50.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Figura (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Full Salute | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Poshsky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Helooksthepart | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fire Mission | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Farm | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spartiatis | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Professor Snape | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bolita Boyz | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jupiter Rising | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outrageous Bet | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Not So Quiet Man | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carmine’s Honor | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ghost Giant | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ro Bear | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | River Knight | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vicar’s Legend | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wilburnmoney | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Transaction Tax | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Curiousncuriouser | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Orecchiette | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Eloweasel | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Violent Times | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Majestic Won | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Length | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Kundray | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Banty’s Girl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Pointer View | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cotton House | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Throw Down | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kentucky Wildcat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Malthael | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Teachable Moment | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Current | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Thread of Blue | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Real Money | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Medina Ridge | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bigmouthed | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Willing to Speed | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Bridgetothefuture | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.