September 7, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sanavi | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trustworthy | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monaco | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Maquina Gris | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoard | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cartayon | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Saloon Girl | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honorable Hero | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Hoffman | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hot Diggitty | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Outlaws | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | T. Jay’s Last Call | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mercurian | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Tied Up | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greasedlightning | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Praise | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Katie Bug | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Croft | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proportionality | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | More to Adore | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Blissful Breeze | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Go Astray | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Blue Atlas | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Esther the Queen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Salty Smile | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Tiz a Kitten | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tough Old Bird | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Tanya’s Gem | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | China Rider | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | It’s Two Hot Benny | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Gia Michael | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | My Girl Annie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rahy’s Bandit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sheplaysthefield | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Overbook | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Our Whim | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impazible Creek | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paranoia | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Terralsole | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dark Tricks | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Princess Mikayah | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Wegetsdamunnys | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Noble Freud | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Byself | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Bergen | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Baby Boss | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Satisfy | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No Hayne No Gayne | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sandy Belle | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Golden Award | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Semper Sententiae | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Secret Quality | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom’s Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 2 | Skyhawk | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Competitionofideas | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Asticou Trail | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Soar From Shadows | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Compression | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Curls | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Steamy Windows | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | We Are Family | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Anne Dupree | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Christiecat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Streetlady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lezendary | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miz Mayhem | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Run | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tesora | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Closer Still (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Factorofwon | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Suebee | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Striking | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mominou | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Watch What Happens | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Atmos | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Moneigh Moproblems | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Mesa | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bigsouljoel | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Confederation | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Causeur | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mysterio | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dublin Leprechaun | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.