September 7, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shezahotmama | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Darlin Rosie | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catherine Eugenia | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Dozer | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Grove | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dandy Rap | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Devine | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Hoosier | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Asha | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Jeanne | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bailagirl | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krististiketmaster | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Richiesonarampage | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contraction | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pleasant Street | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itsprettystormy | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lt Dan Attack | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Katano | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bartbaalu | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mystique Artiste | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Short and Sassy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Supercede | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wayaway | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betruetoyourschool | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Je Suis Belle | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Posh Ruler | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hal’s Mischief | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Full Count | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dona Spey | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Superstar Diva | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Elusive Bae | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ms Elvira | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz T N T | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Giacallure | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Little Ike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | All Call | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Five Green Stars | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Little Baltar | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Prue | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spectacular Road | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Unscathed | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wake Up Joe | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bulldog of Bergen | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Young Corbett | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scarlet City | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Purely Given | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Blue Note | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Royal Commish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Voodoo Spell | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Good Bye Greg | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Strike Quiet | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shogood | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Welovecandy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Karah’s Channel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Staria Peach | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rocket Queen | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Unbridled Atlantic | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Last Surprize | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Appealing Allure | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seventyseven Beuty | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | English Pass | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.