September 3, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Wood | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Noble Thought | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Entwistle | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Arthur’s Pass | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Keen Gizmo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Badjeros Boy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon First | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Atypical | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Glamour Lady | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Court Time | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unrivaled Soul | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duchess of Lynn | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Polly Cat | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regiftable | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Myzogamiss | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Glencairn | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Colton’s Corner | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coleyville | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Hollow Point | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hines | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leo From Heaven | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Victor | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Silent Jimmie | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Halo Laelia | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Egyptian Dancer | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 4 | Clever Shot | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 2 | Shez a Ten I Know | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 8 | Sweet Retreat | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dubhe | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 6 | Molinaro Deputy | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 5 | Red Sails | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 9 | Canadian Club Eh | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bid’s Kid | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zlatica | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 3 | Noble Asset | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bella’s Storm | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 7 | Under Lock and Key | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Kylla Instinct (GB) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Silhouette | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sailor’s Thought | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Havana Dream | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Liberty Kitten | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Red Cabernet | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Juenesse Doree | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Mozambique Gold | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Scarlet Flutter | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Sidney | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Daddy’s Great Bay | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cummings Road | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love That Lute | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Do the Math | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pugsley | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten’s Solution | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Point | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Macho Brew | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kitten Candy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pat Daddy | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wardo | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Singandcryindubai | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Kitten’s Cat | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Dragon’s Cry | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Rush | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Springhouse | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wedgewood | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Call Me Wally | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rexton | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gamble’s Citizen | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zucker | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Eliminatr | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ox Trot | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Night Watchman | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marcus | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Mine | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prideofdistinction | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rock You | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Gamble | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Argentium | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbounded Spirit | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Precious Badge | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Frog | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love of Mine | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Curlin’s Knight | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Empire | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Analyzer | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Johnny Bayi | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Track D Gold | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.