September 3, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Triangulate | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Fortress | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corsario | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Final Blessing | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Imvros Pride | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Debonaire Man | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moon Gate Warrior | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whyruawesome | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Harbor | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Try Flying | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deal Driven | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D T Goodie | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Undeniable Temper | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s Had Enough | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exotic Appeal | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viva Nevada | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Really | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Special | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Meeting | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wild About Deb | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Wild | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Alfred | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bird of Trey | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Notable | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hitmewthurbestshot | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Storm Babe | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Risque’s Treasure | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yellow Chick | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Iwasbornawinner | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Talia Doll | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grey Harmony | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hay Buck | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pascha Pascha | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Crazy Daisy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stetson Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lilbitofjam | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tarafirma | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bye Bye Blues | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tea’s Eminence | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luxicharm | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Current | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cashless Society | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tin N Lint | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rapidez | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nikki’s Bad | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Autobahn Express | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Singing Sarah | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Charlybrown’s Rose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Girls and Guns | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Contrarian | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Afleet Tizzy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aussie Mist | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doctorsofmischief | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Mia Bella Rossa | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Mary Costa | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby’s Song | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Desirous | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Greenwood Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | War Story | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Dollar Bill | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You’re to Blame | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Study | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawaakom | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G Zap | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Archanova | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Turf Monster S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blue Y Gold (ARG) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pure Sensation | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pool Winner | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Imprimis | 1.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Causeway | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rainbow Heir | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vision Perfect | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swell | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bucchero | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American Greatness | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | One More Round | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | House of Friends | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zartax | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Butch Cassidy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Giant Rocks | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Banshee | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caniform | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Buzz With Alex | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.