September 3, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peedie | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Offshore Affair | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feeling Strong | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Dad | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Belong to Becky | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its Five Somewhere | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ballerina Headline | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Chocolate Goddess | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Christy Jackson | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiger Mom | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lob City | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Atrevida | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookingforthewire | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Resky Business | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jersey Buns | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | She’sluckythatway | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Trinitys Turn | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 98 | Rak City | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Acclimate | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Imagineiamfastest | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bank Walker | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sterling’s Temple | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Jump the Tracks | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Activated | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bartlett Hall | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Numbers | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Chewy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Powerful Thirst | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Storm | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ironic Ron | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dynamic Duo | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kathryn’s Sky | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summering | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Angel Alessandra | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hyde Park Corner (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | After the Rose | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bizwhacks | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Contessa | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imperial Creed | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Be a Shero | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – C.e.r.f. S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Impasse | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Miss Sunset | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Show It N Moe It | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phantom Proton | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Classy Tune | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dis Smart Cat | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lake Time | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Time for Ebby | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trifecta | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Big Train | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Secreto Primero | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Comes the Dream | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Play Hard to Get | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Temple Keys | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Glorious Crown | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mr. Opportunist | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mongol G | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Street Moxie | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Solid Wager | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Super Sol | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rapid Red | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Major Cabbie | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flagstaff | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Show Me Da Lute | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pepe Tono | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Mystery | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Guinness | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Superstar | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soltero | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Cause | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Violent Ridge | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Flying Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Barbadolla | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bellazano | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Friars Walk (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Colonial Creed | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thanks | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rayana | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Naturalborn Singer | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fairy Tale Bliss | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bigly | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In Her Fashion | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Huntress | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Sweet Baboo | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apples Arch | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Savagery | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Roadster | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rowayton | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparky Ville | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Game Winner | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spin Lightning | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sigalert | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 98 | Satrapa | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nevermissesabeat | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Push Through | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Your Jets | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reckless Gravity | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sir Eddie | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ostini | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Hunted | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highlight Show | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Achieved | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | According to Buddy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.