September 2, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Edna |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Six Pack Gal |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Palladium |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Handsome John |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baby Frankie |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lakerball |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grab the Munny |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
No Wine Untasted |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mongolian Rahy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
We Will Re Joyce |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Myrcella |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sea Glass |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Girl Drama |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Empress of Lov |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Palace Paynter |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chiefs Lil Pearl |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ezpzylemonsqueezy |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
A Walk in the Park |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hey Negrita |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mongolian Window |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miraculously |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Luminoso |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nice Ice |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mischievous Song |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pursuing The Dream (IRE) |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rinse and Repeat |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heartfullofstars |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kylemore |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ayacara (GB) |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Indian Gulch |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Desolation Sound |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Earnednevergiven |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pacific Song |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
98 |
Bizwhacks |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
98 |
Better Biz |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Claudelle |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Message |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Lady Dude |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Over Emphasize |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Kim K |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hello Bubbles |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Calf Moon Bay |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cash for Cass |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Shes All Woman |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
98 |
Go Daddy Go |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Hartel |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rijeka (IRE) |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Forloveofcountry |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Takeo Squared |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honcho |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Owning |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Seeking Refuge |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
King of Speed |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Knight’s Cross |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
11 |
10 |
Street Image |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Blueberry Princess |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sneaking Out |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mz Brown |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Faithful One |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Violette Szabo |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gotta Be Lucky |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Summer Rose |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shanghai Barbie |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cat Holic |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
All Tea All Shade |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Alystar |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Del Mar Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
River Boyne (IRE) |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Desert Stone (IRE) |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Arawak |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ride a Comet |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pubilius Syrus |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Epical |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Take the One O One |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Restrainedvengence |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kazan (IRE) |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Andesh (IRE) |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Majestic Eagle |
15.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Animosity |
20.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tough But Nice |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gonna Fly Now |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ninety Nine Proof |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bow and Arrow |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aalsmeer |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Eighty Three |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stringent |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Papa Turf |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Colormemoney |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
98 |
Seven Scents |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Flying Scotsman |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Absolute Control |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Data Hawk |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Alleva |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lead Star |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tanker |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Omaha Beach |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Toshio |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
More Ice |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
R B Eye |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fortnite Dance |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yak |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Royal Insider |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.