September 2, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unscathed | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Another Richie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Student Body Left | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What’s Up Dude | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Bye Greg | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speightsong | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mojo Man | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ukuru | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tringale | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Ruler | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sensational Zip | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yankee Jake | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prado’s Sweet Ride | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stallion Heiress | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mo Knows | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Loyree | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Daddy’s Boo | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Mertie | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Liz | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She Is Gorgeous | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Silva Queen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Prada Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mountain Momma | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twin Deuce | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ava Atticus | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rosie Bear | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Warretta | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Diamonds At Dawn | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | V J’s Bet | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Marsh | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Rum Tum | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heir Ball | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doggerwinii | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Checotah | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Brezing | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lu Sea | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Isabellacannetella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pure Blarney | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brown Eyed Blues | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Chick | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kim Dandy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feisty Chi Chi | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Konza Khrome | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shamelessfi | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | L T’s Best Design | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tiger’s Tip | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Valid Storm | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Money | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Desani’s Chance | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hammers Thirsty | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The First Hero | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ya Mon | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The King’s Hero | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Only Praise Me | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Antalya | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | U Turn the Page | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greeleys Delight | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bold Cat | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Time | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twilight Warrior | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Put Position | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Abigail | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Air Turbulence | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Greeley’s Demon | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Americanperfection | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Bar | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pura Lica | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real de Jalpa | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Chick | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | For My Mom | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.