August 31, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Darlin Rosie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Gold | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Case Cracker | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queenoftheroad | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B N a Native Girl | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greeleys Angel | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Numbers Game | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shiny Marquee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Lady | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Running Vicky | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devout Type | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cuddle Me | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapnfire | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sperling | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cooper’s Keeper | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chosen Facts | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baltic Star | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Parading | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arch Away | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Loves Leather | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Her Wild Lifestyle | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doda Doodleallday | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romancin N Dancin | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Train | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shes Just Capital | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cholla | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sharing a Laugh | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aviating | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cassidy Ave | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Skyler | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lookin At Vanessa | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Have the Facts | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Atlantic | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Aura | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heavens Whisper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gianna’s Gift | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | April Fifteenth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Turbo Shaft | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Flashly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Strollin the Bayou | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Meadow | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Trish | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Compact Powder | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Danny B | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Archiemyboy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | President Elect | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Travel West | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Fast Life | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G. C. Crackerjack | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matthew’s Thunder | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Roar of the Lion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Franklin County | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | House of Cortez | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wile E Peyote | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prairie Rebel | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senor Blanco | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | On the Lam | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Blaze | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Supermans Cape | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greyt Oak | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hannity | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bubuzela | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hide and Street | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sing One Song | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Canyon | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | G P’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mizzen Air | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wildwood Scat | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Puppy On a String | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’sadowntowngirl | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.