August 30, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Sir Eddie |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Goldie’s Hills |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Capall |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Pitino |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Concur |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kris’ Wild Kat |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Town Champ |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Golden Ready |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Raging Tiger |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mikes Tiznow |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Seahawk Wave |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Thegloryisallmine |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Acclamation King |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Sharpshootingeorge |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Algorithmnblues |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Anvil Rock |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Creep |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saltarin |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rockandahardplace |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky General |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Mongolian Window |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Sum Reward |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Miraculously |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bornonvalentineday |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lexington Grace (IRE) |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Drift Away |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sekhmet’s Revenge |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sapphire Kid |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tiny Tina |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cute Knows Cute |
8.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tinabud |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Wonderfully |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quinnie |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Trust Fund Kitty |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Trojan Spirit |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Holly Blame |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Irish Spirit |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Pleasant d’Oro |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aggressivity |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Air Strike |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stonegate |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Northrndancrsghost |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Caribbean (AUS) |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spirit Mission |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
98 |
Desert Smoke |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Marjorie E |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Streak of Luck |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ragazza Di Vola |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Meet My Kitty |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Music Babe |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
So Golden |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lacey’s Rainbow |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Acclaim the Queen |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bobbie Lincoln |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Marilyn’s Smile |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Charmingslew |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ketos |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr Cruze |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sigur Ros |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Closing Time |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fire to the Wire |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fender Bender |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
R Cha Cha |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nova |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whiskey Ginger |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Holland Road |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
98 |
Eskimo Roses |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
10 |
Eddie Haskell |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Tina’s Exchange |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mrazek |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eric the Trojan |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brandothebartender |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
What’sontheagenda |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Little Juanito |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blackout (FR) |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tule Fog |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
K Thirty Eight |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
12 |
Jabber Now |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
98 |
Grace Hopper |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
13 |
Smile Awhile |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Peachy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Dislitleaglecanfly |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Conformation |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bedford |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Irish Lassie |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Weather Market |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spectacular Storm |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Eye of the River |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stella Sweeper |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Heloise |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grecian Fort |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.