August 23, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Unusual | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Rosie | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapitha Bonita | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spectacular Move | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bonneville Flats | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crown Kitten | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Val | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gemini Journey | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Student | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brookes All Mine | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scathing | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forthenineteen | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockantharos | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cioppino Pasadino | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Storming Lady | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Token Vow | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Come On Kat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Suspicious Spouse | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Screenshot | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Knickers | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Varanasi | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stradella Road | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You Must Chill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Smokey Pirate | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Poppy’s C Note | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shake N Fries | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rickey B | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Agronomo | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Red Clem | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Baja Warrior | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Red Wine and Dine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sir Eddie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mason B | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Salient | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Forest Chatter | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Croissant | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hollywood Square | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joe Jackson | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hardcore Troubador | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Bango | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | From the Distance | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unpossible | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Rogue | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Down Cats | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Misty Slew | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Sassy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Road Test | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior Vixen | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Lilly | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Looking At Thelake | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lethal Legacy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angelina’s Heaven | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheeza Milky Way | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernina Star | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barleysugar (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poster Girl (GB) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melissa Jane (GB) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shehastheritestuff | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Turnaround | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mr Classical | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Wild Verse | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Am the Danger | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Causeididitmyway | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vintage Hollywood | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Smokin B | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dude’s Dude | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pastorelli | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Snazzy Dresser | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All I Can Say | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Golden | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.