Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 22, 2018

August 22, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Michael G. Walsh Novice S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Indian Hawk (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Boss Man 3.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Mutasaawy 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Swellelegent 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Surprising Soul 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 No Wunder (GB) 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Salix (FR) 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Promises Broken 1.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Special Risk 1.40 2.9 6-1
3 3 B Three 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Caoimhe 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Say Cin Cin 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 Preziosa 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Egoli 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Real Money 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Party With Friends 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Fake Solution 12.00 SCRATCH
9 5 Achilles Warrior 3.50 2.6 5-1
10 6 Stroll Daddy 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 2 Halladay 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 4 Vehement 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Tapizars Secret 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 3 Gearhead 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 7 Sky’s Son 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Molly’s Nighthawk 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Frederica 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hit a Provisional 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 I Like Your Style 6.00 SCRATCH
3A 3 Dancingwthdaffodls 12.00 SCRATCH
7 2 Danielle’s Pride 2.50 1.8 3-1
10 5 Smiles From Sadie 3.50 3.2 6-1
9A 4 Handle With Care 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Lady Darian 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 3 Uconnmarsh 30.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Testosterstone 2.50 SCRATCH
4A 4 Broadway Bay 6.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Blugrascat’s Smile 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 2 Mr. Buff 2.00 3 6-1
5A 3 Cause I’m Alex 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 All About Ashley 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Ostrolenka 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Holy Week 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Super Dude 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Zorzor 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Keep Quiet (FR) 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Business Expense 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 4 Trustworthy 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 6 Decisive Triumph 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Admiral Blue 3.00 4 7-1
7 5 Total Tap 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Zinger 12.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 In Denile 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Makin’ Out 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Mrs. Orb 1.80 4.4 8-1
7 7 Parlapiano 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Adorina 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Mohanie 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Causin’ Trouble 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Chutzpah 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Sophie N 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Broken Border 1.60 SCRATCH
6 5 Driven by Speed 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Vortex Road 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 1 Table for Six 6.00 4 7-1
4 3 Conquest Hardcandy 8.00 4 8-1
7 6 Bareeqa 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Alabama Bound 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – John’s Call S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 G Zap 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Exulting 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mr Maybe 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 You’re to Blame 1.20 SCRATCH
12 12 Not in Charge 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Securitiz 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Highland Sky 4.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Call Provision 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 7 Rocketry 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Gold Shield 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 9 Bronson 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 3 Patterson Cross 6.00 5 9-1
4 2 Focus Group 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 1 Wake Forest (GER) 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 4 Harlan Strong (ARG) 15.00 6.6 13-1
7 5 Renown (GB) 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Brass Ring 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Change of Control 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Flion Lynn Lion 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Wild Type 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 No Limit Babe 3.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Jazzy J 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Bel Cuore 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 The Leeman Dinner 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Karabessa 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Sister Emily 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Bizness Beauty 20.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.