August 22, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Devilish Man |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Sub Factum |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Hardened |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Marquee Moon |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Crimson Spade |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fuzzy Irish Rascal |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
White Smoke |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
One Bad Hombre |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Andrew the Bull |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Salty Kinda Dog |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Our Boss |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ready With Honor |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Untrue |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Queens Quarters |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sipmychardonnaynae |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Colorincolonel |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tormenta de Oro |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Amaluna |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Contessa |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Schmiss |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Distinction |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Draft |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Galileo’s Affair |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Didnotmeanit |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sara’s Day |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Babie Monster |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Semblance of Order |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sanfilipo |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Solve |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Strong Composition |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Illustrious Son |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Sultana |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shacklefords Storm |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
W W Concerto |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Truge |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nola Fashion |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wanda Girl |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Love Flute |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lil’ Smartiepants |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Histrionic |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Murray’s Girl |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Richie’s Sister |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mojo’s Queen |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Touch of Quality |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lady Greatness |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
All About Stella |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Faith Flys Again |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mortal Storm |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Alta Bambina |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cat’s Astray |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dude’s Secret |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sunshine Joy |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pray Pray Pray |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Crystal City |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Field Trip |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Thanks God |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Padilla |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Gone Fishing |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
Harry’s Gone Gray |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Majestic Secret |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Capital S |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Visions of You |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
First Step |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Domenic |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Particularity |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Immosiautunya |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Queen Rose |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Touchet |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Sammie Sunshine |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Whip Me Into Shape |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
4 |
Sophie Germain |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
Cotton Tooyah |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
1 |
Enigmatica |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Paola |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Wild Cat Grace |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Jezebel Jones |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
All in Girl |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tropical Yolo |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cloudy Day |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Total Treasure |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Black Rubi |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Perla Preciosa |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Grace’s Wild Cat |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Broadway Peggy |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Five Up Rosa |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiebaj |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vic |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.