August 22, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | India Mantuana | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mybluebell (FR) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Moccasin | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blossom Trail Miss | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chica La Habana (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Parsimony | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Prince | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Keeper | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jefe | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gunmetal Gray | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pirate’s Punch | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runningwscissors | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carbon Zero | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Toffee | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sauce On Side | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Authority | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Raquel | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wishful | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Blu | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winsinfashion | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Princess Becky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Friars Walk (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kim K | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rather Nosy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Candura | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Data Storm Kitty | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Diosa | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Staythirstymyamigo | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Superhotamolly | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Discreet Diva | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Me Mo My | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Archana | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cheyenne Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tengs Rhythm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Belle Monte | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gia Lula | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Shanghai Tootsie | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Shelly Ann | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kelseybelle | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mongolian Cheetah | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chapis | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scurry | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thermopolis | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Six Point Rack | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Junior Gilliam | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | California Journey | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Tovar | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Accreditation | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Save Ground | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caiifornia Clone | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exotic Ghost | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Harry F. Brubaker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grecian Fire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mubtaahij (IRE) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dabster | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soi Phet | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Isotherm | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ike Walker | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bob’s All In | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gringo Star | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Stalk Me | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rhettbutler | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | North County Guy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giddymeister | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Tiger’s Boy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colormemoney | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Dancer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Call Me Ken | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joejoe’s Kingdom | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.