August 20, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Belgian | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Mohican | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Canadian Flyer | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Queens Jules | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Benefactor | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rappel | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mini Miles | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baseline | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Wappinger | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stay Good | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Puffin Patty | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zecha | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lutenanny | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild With Style | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Third Card Down | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misty Forest | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Annie | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Wise Lady | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chateau | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Point to Remember | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Muddy | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Domain | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fireball Shot | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Labeq | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Wheedle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Timely | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 10 | Jo Jo Air | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Introduced | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miss Hanna Jo | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Musical Lute | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Temperance | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Kind | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Super Simple | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Hustle | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Concrete Rose | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forest Blue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Too Fast to Pass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ranger in Paradise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Missle Bomb | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | King Kranz | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Rectify | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Hammers Vision | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roll Tide Roll | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rosebud’s Hope | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tiz a Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hexameter | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Angel Food | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Arch of Troy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Miko | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Code | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lady Love | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | China Rider | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Dame | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aikenetta | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magician’s Vanity | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lezendary | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Picture Day | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Play Unified | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Jumby Bay | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Black Canary | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Miss Gossip (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fairyland | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quality Time (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Touch of Bling | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rumble Doll | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Annie Rocks | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Evan Shipman S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hit It Once More | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Papa Shot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Winston’s Chance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Pat On the Back | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Tom | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Wine Not | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Control Group | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can You Diggit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13B | 13 | Neutral Zone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Local Edition | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12B | 12 | Time Expired | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Blitz | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Frost | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Riendo | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cuarenta | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | There Goes Jose | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Victory’s Cash | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Last Chant | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Millies Party Boy | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run for Boston | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Horn Ranger | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Won’t Be Missed | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.