August 19, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Avanti Bello | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Point Piper | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beantown Boys | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mercer Island | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ground Rules | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Come Back | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heartfullofstars | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Crew | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gray Gem | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treasure Hunter | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neighborhood Bully | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Creed | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoss Cartwright | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quebec | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dominating Woman | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Helen Hillary | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nine Point Nine | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Little Bit Me | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pricedtoperfection | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | May Girl (GB) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Sugars (GB) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Surfing Star | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Street Fighter | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Abner | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triple Shot | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Wager | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Older Brother | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Terrible Ted | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Stradella Road | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Suspicious Spouse | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Colonel Power | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Tantara | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orageuse | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fiftyeight Special | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Midnight in Dixie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She Be Striking (GB) | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shaken Memories | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Great Ma Neri | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Gray | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Second Fiddle | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speak Briley | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stroll to the Beat | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Allaboutaction | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aristocratic | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clear the Mine | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Two Minutes | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Line | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boy Howdy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rinse and Repeat | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Coco Kisses | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desired Edge | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paprika | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I’m Sassy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zillinda | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jabber Now | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sunrise Royale | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Annie | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leonilla | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirited Girl | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Minister’smistress | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Del Mar Mile H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Samurai | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catapult | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hunt (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fly to Mars | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bowies Hero | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Next Shares | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Om | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Big Score | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caribou Club | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a View | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | B Squared | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Valour (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Le Ken (ARG) | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Plot | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feeling Strong | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Policy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Ay Em | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anniversary Sale | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half Past Time | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tribal War Chant | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Dad | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Saxon Lord | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Upper Room | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ohio (BRZ) | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secreto Primero | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cimpl Man | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Billy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vending Machine | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rapid Red | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dedicated to You | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Street Moxie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dano’s Dream | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love My Bud | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Offshore | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.