August 17, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | All Clear | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shekky Shebaz | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fried Baloney | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Hubbadahubbadaboom | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wet Your Whistle | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mesotherm | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Maquina Gris | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Hello Holiday | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shamrocked | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Saratoga Dew S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Held Accountable | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Land Mine | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frostie Anne | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Frosty Margarita | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pink Twist | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Verdant Pastures | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Giant Boo Boo | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wheresthebarber | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stag of Sylvia | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shuffling Madness | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The I Man | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ziller | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trinni Juice | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Skies Forever | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Codrington | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hope’s Roar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fast Track Kathern | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Jen Brady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hoponthebusgus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Questeq | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridledadventure | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Fee Verte | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Woundwithhereyes | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bustin Hoffman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Steam Engine | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Grand Canal | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Ice | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Center City | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kadens Courage | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icey Cash | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Adversary | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kosciuszko | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cozzy’s Posse | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Treasure | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Spa Treatment | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hannah’s Smile | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Merlins Muse | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Birthday Gift | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Southern Gal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Beaux Arts | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wantagh Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cirque | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dream Passage | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 14A | 5 | Rock Ave. Road | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Tough Old Bird | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 16A | 7 | Pauseforthecause | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scorpion Bowl | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silencia | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Daisy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Palladian Bridge | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing All Night | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cilantro | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cypriana | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inheritance | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McCall | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ascot Walk | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Bye and Bye | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laney | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Longstocking | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Ostrolenka | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Holy Week | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Mo Diddley | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stretch’s Stone | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Wicked Macho | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Honor Up | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Catch a Cab | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Royal Blessing | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cloontia | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Macagone | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mascarello | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Manoffire | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yummy Bear | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leaveematthegate | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Skidmore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Stillwater Cove | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lexitonian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Backtohisroots | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chelsea Cloisters | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shang Shang Shang | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Sir Truebadour | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Chase Greatness | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Swamp Rat | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Carter Cat | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Good Good | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yes and Yes | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gins and Tins | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Chattel | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Stayonthegrind | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Everado | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brightest Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Hot Mesa | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Via Castagna | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Metaphorical | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Rule | 1.20 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | The Chamo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hustle N Heart | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pay the Price | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buster Brown Boy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mysterio | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.