August 16, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dutch Blitz |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Flankenstein |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Hot Mic |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
11 |
10 |
Circle of Light |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Whenthedovescry |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Mr. Louis |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Skippin to Victory |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Cannon’s Roar |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
6 |
Derecho |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bolara |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
5 |
Scrapple |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Willie B Mine |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Furyofthenorsemen |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Not a Chance |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
10 |
8 |
Jarvis Steel |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
2 |
Puturseatbelton |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Agonistic |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
3 |
Piper Hill |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Joseph |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Miners Quest |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
4 |
Uno Emayo |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cut Time |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Donna’s Delight |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Carved |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brigid’s Cross |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
String Bean |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Demelza |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Smart Two a T |
1.40 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Calculated Thinkin |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Guerrero Azteca |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dove Dynasty |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Creepy the Crab |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
L’Overture |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Free to Trump |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Trace of Grace |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Vente to Go |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Quick Witted |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Arraign |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Armoire |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Broken Bridle |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Imply |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Indian Paint |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
His Royal Majesty |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Kingston Pike |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Huyana |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
7 |
Benevolent Prince |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Blowin Smoke |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Bridger |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
6 |
Amplify |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
12 |
9 |
Accolade |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
13 |
10 |
Rule Yourself |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Great Bend |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
8 |
Thank You Ricketts |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Seeking the Sunset |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
14 |
11 |
Sadler Bay |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sugar Train |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Whateverybodywants |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Dirt in Your Face |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Moonlight Shadow |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
5 |
Degrom |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
6 |
Brighton Lane |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hammerin Aamer |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Belfour |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Carteret |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Twin Valor |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Timeless Curls |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Smart Together |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bad Nana |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Bellerue |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
7 |
Proud O’Paddy |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sophia Is an Angel |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
5 |
Aquamarina (GB) |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
6 |
Fed Up Fired Up |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hot Girl |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
8 |
Bidding Circle |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
12 |
9 |
Dancingwithpaynter |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Rimanisempreforte |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Devine Entry |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Team Tim |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Corvus |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Sir Orinoco |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
5 |
Perfect Cover |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Graves Island |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
2 |
Union Blues |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
6 |
Spirit Grabber |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
7 |
Homespun Hero |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
8 |
Hill Shadow |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
3 |
Clubman |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Lonely Drifter |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Beacon of Light |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Egber |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Mischievous Star |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Dorcas Carey |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Starship Yenta |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oddseverinurfavor |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lemon Avocado |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Stratosphera |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Storm Diva |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Calla Luna |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Reiltin Oir |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bet Her Later |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Matinee Babe |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Walela |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
7 |
7 |
Buddha Kai |
50.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.