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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 16, 2018

August 16, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Heza Jet Blackish 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Jessa Swift One 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Louisianabluebeauty 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Jess Going Grand 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Flight Rysk 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Apolitical Blue 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Jla Touch of Russ 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Kb Chicks Black Rose 8.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Hot Prize 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Triple Provocative 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forever Fancy Elaine 3.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Havegotta Streak 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sizzlin At Midnight 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dashin Moehrig 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Kullyns Chrome 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Pilotos Sewell 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Rgr Rylee Ryon 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Stol N 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Florecita Baby 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Royal Reign 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Moto Piloto 3.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Laydee Gaagaa 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 9 Arose 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Sweet Menace 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Looking American 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Heza Special Cartel 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 One Gutsy Eagle 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Jdt Allures Express 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Natovas Runaway 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Hakunna Matata 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fast Dashin Jordon 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Pm Zuppardo 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 First Royal Comment 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Paddys Quick Boogie 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Dashin Bye Special 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Fast Pipity 6.00 5.6 10-1
10 10 Hqh Platinum Runaway 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Jessrunawaywithme 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Pass My Patriot 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Jrs Cash Chic 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 A Texas Cartel 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tempting Louisana 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Dashlilsecrets 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 A C Quick 5.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Lottacash and Corona 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Senators Dreams 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Fast Dash Game 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Wagon Ride 8.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Jessleavethen 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Rkm Perry Full Moon 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Real Deel 10.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Toasted Runaway 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Princess of Torts 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 9 Jess Amazing 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Mr Dash Jess 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Ldn Jessasaltydog 5.00 5 10-1
7 6 Hiclass Ms 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Jess Me Runnin V 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Sting Lika B 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Jls Smoke N Go 10.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sweet Caliente Royal 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Yippie Ki Yea 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Razzaroni 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Truely Leavin You 5.00 4 7-1
9 9 Coronaoro 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Won Cc 4.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 Heisasheis 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Jw Divino Comento 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Toast to Virginia 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Streakin Bye U 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cold Brown Bottle 3.50 4 8-1
10 10 Ryans Louisiana Cool 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Dashin Swinger 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Shez Dead Serious 4.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 The Stunning Stella 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Eye Heart Blue 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Fpj Blazen Fast Ryon 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Tee Magica 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Fh Tochin 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Tdz Dashin Toast 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Treme S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jess a Corona Baby 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jrs Taylors Runnaway 5.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Second Down Leaving 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Gunna Be Alright 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 6 A Canadian Chill 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 7 Eye Am Sizzlin 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Jls Dash N Fire 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Razzatoni 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Heza Fast Beau 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Golding Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 That Is Spot On 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Game Overtime 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 6 Goin Undercover 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 We Gota Jewel 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cartel Majic 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 7 Ra Zoom Special 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Jm Partyin 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Carterslouisianablue 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Bayou Vodka 20.00 6.7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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