August 16, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Heza Jet Blackish |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jessa Swift One |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Louisianabluebeauty |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jess Going Grand |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flight Rysk |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Apolitical Blue |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jla Touch of Russ |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kb Chicks Black Rose |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hot Prize |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Triple Provocative |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Forever Fancy Elaine |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Havegotta Streak |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sizzlin At Midnight |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dashin Moehrig |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kullyns Chrome |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pilotos Sewell |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rgr Rylee Ryon |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stol N |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Florecita Baby |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Royal Reign |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Moto Piloto |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Laydee Gaagaa |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
9 |
Arose |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sweet Menace |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Looking American |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heza Special Cartel |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
One Gutsy Eagle |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Jdt Allures Express |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Natovas Runaway |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hakunna Matata |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Fast Dashin Jordon |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pm Zuppardo |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
First Royal Comment |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Paddys Quick Boogie |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dashin Bye Special |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fast Pipity |
6.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hqh Platinum Runaway |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jessrunawaywithme |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pass My Patriot |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jrs Cash Chic |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
A Texas Cartel |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Tempting Louisana |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dashlilsecrets |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
A C Quick |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lottacash and Corona |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Senators Dreams |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fast Dash Game |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wagon Ride |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jessleavethen |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rkm Perry Full Moon |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
The Real Deel |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Toasted Runaway |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Princess of Torts |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Jess Amazing |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr Dash Jess |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ldn Jessasaltydog |
5.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Hiclass Ms |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Jess Me Runnin V |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Sting Lika B |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jls Smoke N Go |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Sweet Caliente Royal |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yippie Ki Yea |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Razzaroni |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Truely Leavin You |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Coronaoro |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Won Cc |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heisasheis |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jw Divino Comento |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Toast to Virginia |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Streakin Bye U |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cold Brown Bottle |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ryans Louisiana Cool |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dashin Swinger |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shez Dead Serious |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Stunning Stella |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eye Heart Blue |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fpj Blazen Fast Ryon |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tee Magica |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fh Tochin |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tdz Dashin Toast |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Treme S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Jess a Corona Baby |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Jrs Taylors Runnaway |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Second Down Leaving |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gunna Be Alright |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
A Canadian Chill |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Eye Am Sizzlin |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jls Dash N Fire |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Razzatoni |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heza Fast Beau |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Golding Boy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
That Is Spot On |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Game Overtime |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Goin Undercover |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
We Gota Jewel |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cartel Majic |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Ra Zoom Special |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Jm Partyin |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Carterslouisianablue |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bayou Vodka |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.