August 15, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Two Fifty Coup | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Savagery | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Data Hawk | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Samurai Jack | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saltarin | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swamp Souffle | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sueno | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dyf | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Principe Carlo | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tomasino | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Paynes Prairie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Lambo Luxx | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Private Joke | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Go Ghetto | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rocket Fuel | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hackleton | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curly’s Waterfront | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Reverend Al | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Easy Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Girl Downstairs | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gone to Bali | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Salsita | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Livy (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Peach Cove (NZ) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Subic Bay | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Award It | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hip Ninety Three | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Night Time Inc (ARG) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Party Hostess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Always Believe | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Broome | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Awesometastic | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Discatsonthesquare | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miz Tianjin | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Summer Down Now | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magicalchic | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Generous Pour | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alpenhorn | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Ctt And Toc S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Evo Campo (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fahan Mura | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fool’s Paradise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Queen Blossom (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vexatious | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Amboseli | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Space Cadet | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blueberry Princess | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Square Peggy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying to the Line | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Opus Won | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blew by You | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Ember | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alystar | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sneaking Out | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Pet | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Kentan Road | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Parasail | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cute Knows Cute | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Love a Honeybadger | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Just a Smidge | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beau Square | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Travieza | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meet and Greet | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kimberlea K | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Operandi | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Navajo Dreamer (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ruby Trust | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tizanillusion | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Death Dealer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Friendly Steve | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | For the Hustle | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Storm | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Livin On Prayer | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Affair | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Serve Me a Double | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Powerful Thirst | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnum Maduro | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Chadinator | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.