August 11, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Tiger’s Boy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Colormemoney | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Stalk Me | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quad | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Memorable Election | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Michael Mundo | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostly Who | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lori’s Attitude | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dis Smart Cat | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emmy and I | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laynee | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeweled | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Mosey | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Shelby | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Best Pal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Instagrand | 0.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Owning | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sparky Ville | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mason Dixon | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Synthesis | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Curlina Curlina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Western Mongolia | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | K P’s Smokin | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veiled Heat | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tengs Rhythm | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Star of Kobol | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stella Sweeper | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dianka | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Eurasia | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Saburai | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meal Ticket | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goseecal | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beautiful Becca | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jazaalah | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lesley’s Song | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Aurelia Factor | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vangogo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Claudelle | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calf Moon Bay | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Be a Shero | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bev’s Humor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Discrete Stevie B | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shes All Woman | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Luminoso | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pulpit Rider | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Camino Song (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kodiak West (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hey Negrita | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whirling | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ladybug | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Atlantic | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silken Spy | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Tigress | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Braddock | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burn Me Twice | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Turf | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bow and Arrow | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Tiger | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ninety Nine Proof | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rate for Me | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bernin Sensation | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pursuing The Dream (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Highland Lass | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nice Ice | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | One Fast Broad | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pacific Strike | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sappho (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dulce Ride | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miraculously | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nonna Gianna (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sum Reward | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Klosters (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Handsome John | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Terrier | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Alarm | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hey Sal | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warrensdirtydancer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky General | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Clem | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cyprus Souljah | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Empirical Data | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Small Town Boy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.