August 10, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Confidentially | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Aunt Lubie | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Now Blessed | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Convince | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pulpacheeks | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grecian Fort | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Morning | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Violence | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zapana’s Game | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candyman Garret | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Indian Trick | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Positive Numbers | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Street Zombie | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain N. Barron | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imagineiamfastest | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Command | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Wild Kingdom | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Duke of Fallbrook | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Curtain | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Seeker | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Out to Sea | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | E Bradley Cooper | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Sharp Holiday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alpha Pegasus | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Autumn Twilight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Student | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tuscany Beauty | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Cali | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rockantharos | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Christy Jackson | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’sluckythatway | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookinforadanger | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nazareth | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peaked | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Diva | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rcatcanscat | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Angel Alessandra | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ask the Customer | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hyde Park Corner (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Friars Walk (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Dialed | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barbadolla | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Contessa | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marrazano | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imperial Creed | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Watch Me Burn | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Frankie | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bea’s Boy | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | At the Margin | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grab the Munny | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swing Thoughts | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Impression | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Solana Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cordiality | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonless Sky | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Roi | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shehastheritestuff | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Bee to You | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | How About Zero | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cheekaboo | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lynne’s Legacy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | How Unusual | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sky Babe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | No Thanks Erik | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Romolina | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Disco Tale | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Portal Creek | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Staythirstymyamigo | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucille | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jackie Star | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Party All Night | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Maneuver | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twitterati | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Peasy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.