August 8, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Asscher | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Believe Indeed | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War Moccasin | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Looking At Thelake | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lob City | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Todos Santos | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blondy’s Reward | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gentrified | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Just Kidding | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shackleford Banks | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Above Board | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | South Americain | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Dandy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Farmer | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harrovian | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Easy Keeper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Oracle of Omaha | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truck Salesman | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hartel | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Scotsman | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calder Vale | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Refuge | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lincoln City | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Herdsman | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Miss Midge | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Two Timing Lucy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kelseybelle | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Cream N Kafe | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pray for Corday | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spectacular Storm | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snaked | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tacy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Tootsie | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kalsa | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tengas Angel | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Window | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrowsphere | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marjorie E | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lethal Legacy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Bit Dangerous | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | November Tale (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Married by Now | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swallows Inn Gal | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | She’s a Dime | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Spicy Curry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Great Salvation | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Disco Tale | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jellybeankristine | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lakerball | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awepollonia | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storms a Brewn | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Filthy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lunagonnamoonya | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crosshaven | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Depende de Ti | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Press | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Kitty | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | River Echo (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Game | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kidmon | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Show Me Da Lute | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Duper Cooper | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divisor | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Brighton Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Awesome E K | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blaze of Glory | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spend It | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Welldidyougetit | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | June Two Four | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jonas | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pacific Song | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sterling’s Temple | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Chewy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scorpio | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.