August 4, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mystery Day |
0.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
A Fox Inthe Forest |
0.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Marquette |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Charmaine’s Mia |
0.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wilburnrubber |
0.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Madame Bovery |
0.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kewanne |
0.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Cat Zapper |
0.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Run to the Bank |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Money Talker |
0.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ault |
0.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cito |
0.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Macho Brew |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cummings Road |
0.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Timeiseverything |
0.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sandy Bay |
0.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gray’s Fable |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Great Kahuna |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yasou Cousin Nick |
0.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Captain Thunder |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Downy Boy |
0.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fuzzy Kitten |
0.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Jungle Warrior |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Just Like Larry |
0.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Candy Crushem |
0.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tricky Magician |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
John Paul Jones |
0.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fly Away Birdie |
0.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mondaymorningmemo |
0.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Keep Your Word |
0.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Inclusive |
0.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Majestic Melody |
0.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grimgrinnin’ Ghost |
0.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Drive On |
0.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dani’s Victory |
0.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Butilovesyababe |
0.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Leo the Rabbit |
0.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Switchblade |
0.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Red At Last |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Norris Lake |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Canada Wise Don |
0.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Frankofalltrades |
0.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Kilkenny Prospect |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
First Shot |
0.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stop the Parade |
0.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Unbounded Spirit |
0.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Derby Rebel |
0.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Awesomeendswithme |
0.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Everglow |
0.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wonnestrut |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pleasant Forest |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Shady Well S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sav |
0.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maritime Breeze |
0.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Breathtaking |
0.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Syllable |
0.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sailing By |
0.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moksgmol |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Appella |
0.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Woodbridge |
0.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr Ritz (GB) |
0.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Determinant |
0.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
El Tormenta |
0.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Honig |
0.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lapochka |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Matthew’s Ridge |
0.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kitten’s Boy |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Green Freedom |
0.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Corey’s Best |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Victorian Lass |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Missy Crissy |
0.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tornado Cat |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Northern Colors |
0.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Turbo Driven Diva |
0.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Northern Fern |
0.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thirty Nine Seven |
0.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Typically |
0.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Peace Seeker |
0.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sandy Stats |
0.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mamita’s Chica |
0.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Only Essa |
0.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cookestown Creed |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beth’s Aurora |
0.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gals Got Rhythm |
0.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kind C J |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Delly |
0.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Isle of May |
0.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.