August 4, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | McLean House | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Biletnikoff | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Sight | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katchup Tiz | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Lion | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Threethehardway | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Northern Grey | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Broke the Bank | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Tocayo | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Sparx | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sventastic | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Ignatius | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Starship Thor | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make My Saturday | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burford | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Harbour Cay | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz My Valentine | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Argot | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitchen Police | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Grillo | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dagburnit | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oklahoma Crude | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ballylin | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jumpin Jett | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paddy’s Gal Rosie | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dance Valentina | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blackdiamond Dream | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Rosie | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flamingo Chick | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Admiration | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jag | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | King’s Pawn | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salt Air | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Verse | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet the Pot | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apollo’s Favorite | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bulland | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Off Road | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Cross | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Old Sport | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Durrett Lane | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fierce Tide | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. McGoey | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apollo Eleven | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zartax | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Business Partner | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stay Awesome | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Die Hard Di | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Douglas | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bellows | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cross Current | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Handsome Hoyt | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mayrhofen | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Keepingitquiet | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barton Holt | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cullasaja King | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sound Off | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Most Likely | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Doctor | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | MISS PARADISE | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | FORTAISSA | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | DANCE WITH ME BW | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | TIFFANYS DREAM | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | JUNIA | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | TM MADDAMEE | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | BURNING VAZ | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | PICK ME | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Cre Run Oaks Arabian Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | RB KINKIE BOOTS | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | UPTOWN SANDY GIRL | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | RB WICKED RICH | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | MIZZDORA | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | ROYALLY BRED | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | BIGG GIRL | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | DAZE OF AWE | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.