August 3, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Special Concoction | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Armando’s Star | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romeo Lima | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr D’s Way | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greenhorn | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oltre’ Oro | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pale Hose | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Curby | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nook | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betruetoyourschool | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kim Dandy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wayaway | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bubuzela | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Posh Ruler | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Short and Sassy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Applique | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feisty Chi Chi | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Rose | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Diva | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Air Ellie | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Is Gorgeous | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal’s Position | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Bit Tipsey | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Straight Up Smarty | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goddess of Kip | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Alliance | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’sadowntowngirl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Teach Me Tonight | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Kinda Devil | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Abigail | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real de Jalpa | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Youvegottopaytopla | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Babybluesbdancing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Lovely Loyree | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Streamline | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daddy’s Boo | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One Liz | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Go Lady Jay | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Mertie | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Skyluck | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Top Secret Indy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mummy Troll | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Workingforaliving | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Portico | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Jax | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Satellite | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Star Kid | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Joe | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | The Shoe | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bruise | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Go Mick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Iter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Jockamo’s Song | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Singingintheheat | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Pablo Del Monte | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jack Snipe’s | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Midnight Blue Note | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bajan Rhythm | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Grey Mask | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Mensch | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Boom Box | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Papa Rizzo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Arion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nuclear Option | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | P R Radio Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Liberal Lunacy | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Simsbury | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Magic Dragon | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Silent Fame | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Time On Target | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Boyfriend Material | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Charge Card | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Sandbagger Al | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Halo Hunter | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.