August 1, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sixty Five (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Whitman’s Poetry | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dark Gemini (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Go Get the Basil | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Boss Man | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Canaveral (GB) | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | First Friday | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Vicki | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Heaven’s Creation | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eight Minute Ellie | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bridge of Sighs | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Girl Annie | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Ending | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Say Cin Cin | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | You Promise | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | The Mason Factor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ziller | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thefinalcrazydude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Giant | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ferrad’s Party | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brockmoninoff | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Causforcelebration | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unsullied | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rough Justice | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild William | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Manche | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tammany Giant | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burkie | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enchanted Forest | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freudian Analyst | 50.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13A | 13 | Set Me Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Transistor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Your Only Man | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Soluble (GER) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glennrichment | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tricked Up | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Acoustic | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wingman | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Camp Courage | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be Counted | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Terrible Day (ARG) | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Immunity | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ode to the Hunt | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretentious | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Face It | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Smile More | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Irish Princess | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Our Circle of Love | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Carnival Lass | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She Is Bedazzling | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tell Your Mama | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anazara | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gifted Lady | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Catoria | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Vinegar | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | She Will Rock | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mimic | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Sassy Agnes | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Corey Scores | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jaded Lady | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Itsakeyper | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tradeable | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accabonac Harbor | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy to D’ Bone | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | A True Giant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | High Moon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Crossways | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dooley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Follow the Signs | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shiraz | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saratoga Colonel | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pocket Player | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take It to Scale | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Jersey John | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Carthon | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Siggie | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Appealing Briefs | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elenzee | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stormy Justin | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Phone Funky Munky | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Shine Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heavenly Score | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Your Love | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Come Dancing | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yorkiepoo Princess | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cairenn | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Impasse | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wonderment | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aura Rose | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ostrolenka | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stoney Bennett | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Dowse’s Beach | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uncle Youdge | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Frisky Magician | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Whatstotalkabout | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Speightful Kitten | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Banana Thief | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Samadi Sky | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tribecca | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ethan Hunt | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Callant | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hokulea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Flatexcel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bronze Age | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Discreet Mission | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Smash Williams | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Analyze Your Luck | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Money Laundering | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Go Big Or Go Home | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Street Cat Sam | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zenato | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lake Party | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Musicality | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Can Go | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.