July 31, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | In the Script | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I B Mike | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Estrickator | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Breeze | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greed Is Good | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surfing U S A | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Refunded | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Arrecife | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Midnight Justice | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Musical Comedy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ironbound | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Butch Cassidy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dead Broke | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I Am the Man | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Bandit | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whateveryouwant | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flatter Me Big | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Repentant | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | This Might Be | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Loco Lobo | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Shot | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Boy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Workin On a Dream | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Honey | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump Shift | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gadago | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | White as Cotton | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Hempt | 0.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Fire | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Poker | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Maggie Mae | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indominus Rex | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elnath | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love You Babe | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Butterflies | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our First Candy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Da Wildcat Girl | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marnesia Big Girl | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Revolving Storm | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ruble | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Wildcat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chelios | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Twister | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Grande Rojo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runs for Luck | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Got It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rest Assured | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nice Tune | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nile Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Warrior Rose | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | The Pooch | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Klaatu | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Brio Man | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Sir Alfred | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Big Bella Brown | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Shimerville | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Averyon | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kelly’s Silver | 0.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kowboy Kenny | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graymond | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dialyzed | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fairly Bold | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alex’s Fast Lane | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Truly Blessed | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant Sojourn | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.