July 30, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
6 |
Shiitake |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clutch Catch |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1A |
5 |
Contingent Payment |
0.80 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
3 |
Gran Fortress |
0.80 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
8 |
Brown Bear |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
7 |
Case the Place |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Soul Revival |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Victorious Venture |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Black Queen |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Natalie La Rose |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Axe Capital |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silver Ring |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Hide a Rose |
4.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Faithinvictoria |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dudes Rockin Lady |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Starship Reina |
1.20 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Trusty Roll |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Celesse |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Appealing Miss |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sneaky Cowgirl |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pink Princess |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Perfect Cocktail |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Bloody Point |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bella Lou |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Katy Drama |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Charlybrown’s Rose |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Doctorsofmischief |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Batmitzvah |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Desirous |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kendyl Elizabeth |
4.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Lu |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bird of Prey |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
High Math |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Atina Salsa |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hello Moon |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
6 |
Thomas Knight |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Moon Gate Warrior |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Aztec Sense |
0.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Champagne Chuck |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
3 |
Car Fifty Four |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
1 |
Tempestuous Angel |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1A |
5 |
Ruby Bleu |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
2 |
Harpoon |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
12 |
Spring Emperor |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Jack O Liam |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Papa Jones |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Clowney |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
9 |
Only You |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Noble Kent |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Kraken Glacken |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Bud Fox |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Speaker John |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
3 |
Philly Completely |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Battle Tap |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
1 |
Midnight Rumble |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
8 |
Midnight Poker |
0.60 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Wonderfully Tuned |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
2 |
Honor and Courage |
0.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Jw’strickymischief |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unto Thou |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Huntin’theholidays |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Risque Rebel |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Every Step |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Stoneheart Lady |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Mymomsablond |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Simuladora |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chocolate Candy |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
You’re Dreamin |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Georgia Bonnet |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Powder Puff Girl |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pastiche |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Savannah’s Dream |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.