July 29, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Power Jak |
1.20 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fame Galore |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Star Mily |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Forty Kilos |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Music Makes Sense |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Freakin’ Me Out |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Queen Lizzie |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Baroness Vontrappe |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Bienville Street |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Janet B Doesit All |
2.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Ultimate Challenge |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Motivate |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Motherwell |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Malkia |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Risky Risky Risky |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tegla |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Siorno |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Octopythius |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Going to the Beach |
1.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Chaval |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Clemson and Watson |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alabama Jacks |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cousin Tino |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Phenomenal Gem |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Bossyatta |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Miss Sophia’s Star |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Kisskiss Telltell |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Samurai’sfirstlady |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Hotty Toddy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Ortiga (IRE) |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
6 |
Natrona Girl |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
5 |
Peaka Ballerina |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Extravagant Baby |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Nightstorm |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sipmychardonnaynae |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
4 |
Alex’s Party |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bradshaw |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Deep Fire |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Treasure Item |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Organic Jenny |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sir Jak |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
My People Sing |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
C C’s Freedom |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Venezuelan Spirit |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Show Biz Liz |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Exclusively Emma |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Bionsand |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Player |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quaker Maid |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Casimira |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Inca Princess |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lion Diva |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grace’s Wild Cat |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
J. P. Calling |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Beau Splash |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Ercolano |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Frenchmen Street |
1.80 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moon Pistol |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Don Fager |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frankie Apps |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Allaboutthebeach |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Baby Alidett |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Earhart |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Freckle de Freck |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Venezuelan Forever |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Scottish Sky |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Inside Trip |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
5 |
Draft |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Prospective Moment |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
7 |
Along the Trail |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
12 |
8 |
Moonshine Cate |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
6 |
Ms. Violette |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shez a Great One |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Sweet Lorraine |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Aloha Street |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
First Mondays |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Agujero |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Weisser |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Manolete |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pass the Butter |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quenane |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pair Pair Tie |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hookup |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dublin Tinker |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
In His Image |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
10 |
9 |
Smiling Mason |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Copper Vessel |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Can’ttakeitwithyou |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Elvis Cole |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Particularity |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
10 |
Fior Cliste (IRE) |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Scotuscare |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Boss |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
German Alberto |
50.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Permitted |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tajeliha |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Monja |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cool Maiara |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Evillicious |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Awesome Clue |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ocala’s Caliente |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dutches of Sparkle |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Successful Quest |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quack Quack |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.