July 28, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Edisto Island | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Purity | 0.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Two Faced | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mandate | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roxy Red | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquer the Sky | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thalias Fire | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crumlin Time | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Step by Step | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Victor’s Real Life | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firey and Gorgeous | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Fox Inthe Forest | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shishka | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pluie d’Avril | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Wedding | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alacritous | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Letthebighossroll | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jimbo Five | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One More Drift | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hope to Heaven | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In View | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Negotiations | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fernando the Bull | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Trouble | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bobby’s Escape | 0.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dundurn | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Berkeley Boy | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Athena’s Legacy | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soul n’ Spirit | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kissoffire (IRE) | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Just for Rose | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Exchange | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Crossing | 0.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O’Kram | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lillz Not Crying | 0.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Putsy’s Pal | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Je Suis Charlie | 0.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – King Corrie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Run Away | 0.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wyatt’s Town | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormfuhr | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be Vewy Vewy Quiet | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blueblood | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hemp Hemp Hurray | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Smart | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Leo From Heaven | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Legal Gump | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scram Cracker | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockbarton | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mohawk Style | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wall Street Wolf | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stretch Dancer | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Black Storm | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ox Trot | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Clairessence | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sugati | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Deed’s Legacy | 0.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Candy Mountain | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flashy Gizmo | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Echo in the Forest | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Queen Andher Court | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Forest Fairy | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Toronto Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | O’Kratos | 0.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neepawa | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | March to the Arch | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inge | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin to Strike | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Archaggelos | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rose’s Vision | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flight Deck | 0.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blakey | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sent From Heaven | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raiden | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Bullet | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kid’s Mischief | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin At Matteo | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pawnbroker | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cool Catomine | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seize the Bay | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vanish | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Courtly Manner | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colton’s Corner | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Get My Gist | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Split My Pants | 0.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Jimmie | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blu Without You | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Where’s Anthony | 0.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decisionsdecisions | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Poet | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr O’Prado | 0.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.