July 28, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cape Dynasty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | On Cruise Control | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Indian School | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Colormepegasus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wake Me Up At Noon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Zitman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Classic Move | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Smart Return | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Royalston | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hopetown | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Darn That Parker | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tide of the Desert | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Golden Away | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Mace | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Lovingrdsimmar | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Resident | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wizard Jak | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Archivero | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Santiaguero | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Knucklehead | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fancyflash | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Joe Cain | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Porter Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Who’s Your Drama | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Son of Oahu | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Local Hero | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Piloting | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Cometin | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Gray Beau | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Cut to Order | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Eye of a Jedi | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sensational Sam | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Colonel Don | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Toms Chuchu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | High Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fly by You | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Pure Style | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Devilish Man | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nation U S A | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Boats Gilhooley | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Granted Storm | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Davids Boy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Rigo | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Art Bijou (ARG) | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Discreet Attitude | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Coco Is Loco | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Moreno Mojo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Salute and Serve | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | False Accusation | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Charzaam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Diamond Majesty | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Burton | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dependable Phil | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Erre Erre | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Miserable | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Nonno Nino | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Son of Greatness | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Schweets | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Cal | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quanahs Revenge | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Midnight Joker | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dam Locks | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Durlyn | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Corn Off the Cob | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sunshine Bay | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Arts and Crafts | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Paynter Fest | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ponte Reale | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valerie First | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zao’s Dreams | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cleopatty | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lady Colors | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Lee and Me | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Coyote | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Triple Serious | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Diablo Rojo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Look Up | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Friend Zone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Alperes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Leader | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Russian Wine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Count Archibald | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mascarpone | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | The Stifler | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Leaveittoquay | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Baby George | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gone Diesel | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Alexander Mrs | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Strong Composition | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Potochon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Polygram | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tiger Blood | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | King Power | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dash of Dazzle | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dream Saturday | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zachary’s Pitch | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Imperial Warrior | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bonnie Boy Hunter | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Sultana | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cantaclaro | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rancho | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love My Cotton | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lunch Break | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decisive Force | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Respondingtoglobal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | R Prerogative | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Glorious Mystery | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Micah’s Girl | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vow to Recover | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Magica | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cassidy’s Smile | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jo Sweetness | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Latina | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tennessee Cotton | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jessica | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Stakes) – Copingaway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Archer Road | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Could Be | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bingo Kitten | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bold Daddy | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unikat | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Decision | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Diamond Square | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Marco Mischief | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barefoot Cove | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Millionaire Runner | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kikinboy | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yo No Se | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Affluential | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Added Elegance S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bella Vincenza | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Tooth Haven | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She Takes Heart | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Faith N Hope | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doritza | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amaluna | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Schmiss | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beau Trace | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Liam Lets Go | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Florida Two Step | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reagan’s Heart | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Soldat War | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Squeezadios | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mozo Bello | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Micah Man | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goldenlineof | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whitecap Bay | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Pride | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Andrew | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.