July 28, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forres Lily | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Candy Forest | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dad’s City Girl | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cuckoo Forcononuts | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noisy Ripples | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boheme de Lavi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Socially Driven | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Trusty Roll | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 2 | Party Rock | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Passionate Emotion | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Silly Factor | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Zarcat | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Runabout | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Sophistication | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior Lake | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Just Flashy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Do With Pride | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sancho Del Pueblo | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Bay Express | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Vibrant Spirit | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thanks Mom | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ivanya | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gator Girl | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hope’s Blossom | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alydarius | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Who’s Back | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Speedy Mexican | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | San Cristo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Twisted Earl | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ring Necked | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hurry Up Alan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Supah Czech | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arbitrator | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alarming | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kowboy King | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Escape | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rosebud’s Hope | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Maggie Mae | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eighty Six Mets | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Switch In Time (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cry Uncle | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jersey’s Kittens | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madame X. | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Follow the Petals | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Delightful Lana | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clare’s Dowery | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | RB HOCUS POCUS | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | PADDYS DAY | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | JUNIA | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | QUICK SAND AA | 1.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | EASTER MAN | 1.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | ZELLS BELLS | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | BIG CHAY | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bob Magness Memorial Arabian Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | RB WILD CARD | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | BURN EM JOEY | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | RB KINKIE BOOTS | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | CAPTAIN BUSH | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | BIG CORK | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | SO BIG BOY | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | DANCE WITH ME BW | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | COLORS IN MOTION | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.