July 27, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Point Exactly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Texas Rustler | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Trev | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Barrabas Key (ARG) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Lost for Words | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Stone Heart | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Diamond Mint | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Pioneer Pete | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sherpa | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bertiesbeauboaz | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warrior A. P. | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spin Cycle | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Browns Gap | 1.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheech Thunder | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taken to Church | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Kitt | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Ciclon | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | To Your Health | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Bandit | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rainfall | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sara’s Day | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luz Estrella | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Wife | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She Nailed It | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Appealing Lalibela | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Magic | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucille Bull | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Shackleford | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Downrange | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coal Miners Son | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sebas Ranger | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aristteles | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | America’s Simmard | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Admiral Jimmy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ox Bro | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aurora Princess | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Whip Me Into Shape | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cotton Tooyah | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tayanna | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mobeautiful | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galileo’s Affair | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Trappe Me Later | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Memorize | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Duper Girl | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bay Street Bob | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cartersville | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Judge Hudson | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Giant Dilemma | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Calypso Deep | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Duke of Miami | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Armonico | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Shidoshi | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Resistance Jak | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | I’mawreckingball | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Rockysbuckaroo | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Weaponized | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | War Agent | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jingle Bells | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crest of Eden | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swami Genius | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | C C’s Cup of Tea | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tri Delta Bae | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Introspective | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Go Jak | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vida Tropical | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bring Joy | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faith Flys Again | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Tap | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cat’s Astray | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Beau | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lovingrdsimmar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Iron Throne | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hardened | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Marquee Moon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Crimson Spade | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Andrew the Bull | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | City Roc | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Smoke | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Fuzzy Irish Rascal | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Steel Grit | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Shim | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Moonstricking | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ready With Honor | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Minute Madness | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Scam | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Crescent | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baba Tobi | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Kisses | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tell Me a Story | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fog Warning | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Best Candy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Monja | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | So Fresh | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Play That Tone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Angry Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 12 | Mija Bella | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chasity | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Rosetta’s Gift | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Avalanche | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pray Pray Pray | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sunfest | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Country Strong | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lloydly | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Nice | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ashley’s Rose | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katie Faloona | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crespucula | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.