July 27, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Revenue Virginius | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Myrcella | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gemini Journey | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Devil’s Beauty | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kristie’s Heart | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zuzanna | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peaked | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Magicalchic | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Asscher | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Back Beauty | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Dove | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jest a Princess | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Of Note | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rooms | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starr of Quality | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sapphire Kid | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemoona | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demigoddess | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Clyde’s Pride | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Buddy Bear | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gold N Bold | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jet Set Ruler | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Writ Large | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thermopolis | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Push Through | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Hunted | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Barrel | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Buzzkill | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Acclimate | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celturian | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clem Dela Clem | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chieftain’s Lad | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Naughty Sophie | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Pretty | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palace Paynter | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Rosie | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mis Viola | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Areni | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avail | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crown Kitten | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Complete Discreet | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Offshore | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Terrys Tom Cat | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Montu | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Defiantly | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bronzino (FR) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Monydontspenitself | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Over Par | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Buckys Pick | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Opportunist | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | It’s The Ice (GB) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Comes the Dream | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Real Good Deal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Psycho Dar | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Smiling Angelo | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daddysprize | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take the One O One | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Violent Ridge | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fashionably Fast | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shaymin | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Peach Cove (NZ) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Girl Downstairs | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Proud ‘n’ Ready | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Staintondale Lass (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Salsita | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miss Boom Boom | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plastered | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twirling Apples | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone to Bali | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Award It | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hip Ninety Three | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warm Endowment | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | You’re A Goat (GB) | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Subic Bay | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Spend It | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Severin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Supreme Giant | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Beat the Chalk | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Chadinator | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Channel Crossing | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Front Row Friends | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Gulch | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vegas Itch | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alfareed | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Game of Roans | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Rebel | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Day At the Races | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scorpio | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.