July 25, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Jonathan Kiser Novice S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Wunder (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Mutasaawy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lord Justice (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Officer Sydney (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | New Member (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Borderlinedecision (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Daneking (GB) | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Raging Town | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | North End | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tayler’s the Boss | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hexameter | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Terralsole | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiffany’s Vision | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Curlin’s New Moon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Consensus Thinking | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Ding Dong Ditch | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wisely | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Electro | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sport | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Czech Rate | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hot Mesa | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hustle N Heart | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indurate | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Everado | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Summer Bourbon | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candid Desire | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Buff | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rectify | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riff Raff | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Flash | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Accabonac Harbor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Mary’s Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Aquariva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Chillinwithfriends | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empress Sophia | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Ruvies in Time | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Damselfly | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Elegant Zip | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Warp | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evan’s Nice Now | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bull Feathers | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Collegeville Girl | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pray for Leslie | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Come Dancing | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Purrfect Miss | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heartspoke | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Gale | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play Unified | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stay Fond | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cathy Naz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Solitary Gem | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Hope’s Roar | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hollywood Cat | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Dancer | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Codrington | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sweet Connie Girl | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Aikenetta | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Questeq | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Claire’s Kitty | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Ostrolenka | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mascarello | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Igotyoursix | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Royal Blessing | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 1 | Fox Rules | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Mo Diddley | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Morrison | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Leaveematthegate | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Converge | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Honorable Miss H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chalon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Finley’sluckycharm | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Faypien | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kirby’s Penny | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thirteen Songs | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vertical Oak | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rucksack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Somebody | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Moneigh Moproblems | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Four Knights | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Union Ranks | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spring On Curlin | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Novus | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sacred Walk | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bay Hill | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Quality Choice | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blasphemy | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Makeanentrance | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.