July 23, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Watch What Happens | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fox Red | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Schwartz | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mantle | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Mas Puro | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Metaphorical | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nightstrings | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ailish | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Crater Rim | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Dreams | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Low Is Laine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hit a Provisional | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Grand Banks | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sardonyx | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 3 | Gabriella | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Saratoga Sass | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smiles From Sadie | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spiral Bound | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 6 | Uconnmarsh | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seam | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Overbook | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Formal Event | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Whim | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Change | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Nanny | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mazmania | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | The Glominator | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | The Postmaster | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Floyd Unger | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Plebe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Waynes Footsteps | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Veterans Beach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 8 | Bourbon Mission | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Somelikeithotbrown | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Woodbury | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dugout | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bozzini | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Magical Tale | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Semper Paratus | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Early Retirement | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pipes | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hills Pond | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wingman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Soluble (GER) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Morning Stride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Belgian | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Zorzor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 3 | Ekhtibaar | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 2 | Cherry Wine | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Transistor | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Admiral Blue | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 1 | Tapsolute | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Dooley | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Danebury | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stretch’s Stone | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Becker’s Galaxy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calculated Risker | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Evaluator | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Caress S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tillie’s Lily | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Faypien | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lull | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kirby’s Penny | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Triple Chelsea | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Brielle’s Appeal | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Girls Know Best | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morticia | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Chanteline | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Bowie | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Talkin | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ruby Notion | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fire Key | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lookin At Blessing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Sanavi | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Harangue | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz No Bluff | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Indigo Yankee | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Macha’s Reward | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Make the Rules | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trustworthy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dreamers and Me | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | One Wise Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ms McLean | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Just Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Andretta | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Carrera Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Quietly Quick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 4 | Mama Mary | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Icy Maneuvers | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Missbigtimes | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Silencia | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Adorina | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.