July 22, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Simpson | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | No Fly Zone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Caneel Bay | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Peace Speaker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Buster’s Brother | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Railmaster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | True Cat | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Pennyforyrthoughts | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Paul the Waiter | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Pro Riot | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scoop N Nailz | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Tap the Moment | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Jack of Spades | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Great Country | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | La Contessa | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Schmooze | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Polarization | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lily Rae | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Last Cast | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shecor | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Humble | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Magician | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fantasize | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Premier Event (JPN) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | King Koa | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bushmill Giant | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uhwarrie Sky | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | In Him With Him | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | My Train | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bob’s My Uncle | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Publishanditerate | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Souper Courage | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Come Sundown | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 5 | Beyond the Victory | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Boss Boss | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Champagneonme | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scrap Copper | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blue Danube | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Culloden | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Emme | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Disconnect | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Slug And Jockey (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Janelle Dreams | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Stillsexyatsixty | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfectness | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Pensy Moll | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whenallelsefails | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tidy Stripe | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Rosie o’ Darlin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pedir La Luna | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chinquapin | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poplar Avenue | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meo Desperado | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord of Misrule | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crafty Estate | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Federal Walk | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easter Vigil | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tempt Me Twice | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Happy Indeed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jareth | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Versed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Sir Orinoco | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Best Yes | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fifty | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arch Revenge | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Abundance | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dundalk | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Jack Straight | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Oldies But Goodies | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smart Royal T | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Rich | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Inflight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Helen | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bye Bye Bertie | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Flatter Me Owen | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Buffum’s Belle | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Maggie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fergie’s Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Deep Red | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Natural Notion | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whyyouask | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Margie’s Money | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot Friesia | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Northern Prancer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ticker Tape Parade | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chocomount | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Angle Burke | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Dollar Hammer | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Down in the Holler | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wildly Clever | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Archie’s Revenge | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broad Expanse | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.