July 22, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dom the Bomb | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Pale Hose | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rivzinthehouse | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greenhorn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Liechty | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dashing Derek | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Northern Fire | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Harmony Enhanced | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Bravo Dixie | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cabin John | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Straight Shooter | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | J Z’s Last Try | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Dean | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diamonds At Dawn | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tensas Thought | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Delicate Lady | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Love Shack Baby | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Quest | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heavenly Hill | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Story | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riv | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barnyard Fiddler | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enchanted Rambam | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roarin Missile | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A J’s Posse | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brave Benny | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lielielie | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Emperor | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skycraft | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proquestor | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talking Zip | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Satellite | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saturdays Hangover | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fort Marsh | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Neuqua | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Prairie Chick | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Speed Devil | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Barb n’ Don | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pure Blarney | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Brittney On Blades | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hammered | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shamelessfi | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Star of the Market | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | On My Toes | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Odachi | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glory Train | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Cookie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | For My Mom | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Saver | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Chick | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chique to Chique | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Saturday’s Song | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Shezahotmama | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tapnfire | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seeyouatthedisco | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supercede | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Controversy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Reminisce | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Artic Vortex | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.