July 21, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Road Show | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maddymax | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muzz’em | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Coco | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missguts Has Speed | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Langstars Charmer | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Trouble | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blondies Mine | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Primary First | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ride Lady Ride | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taylor’s Wildcat | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flash of Defiance | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mistletoe | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greater Glory | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Jewel | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cat Got Even | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mono | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Pursuit | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mountain On Fire | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t My Fault | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blushing Scarlett | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Silence | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sparkle O Mine | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie’s No Angel | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vision’s Reward | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daaherachel | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cocoa Parfait | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Chariot | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jockey Rocket | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ranbir | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jayne’s Idea | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Great Vice | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Glory | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Kingdom | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Notion | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Clover | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | K Street | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Lovejoy | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Psychic | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grass and Cactus | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | To the King | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giermo | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Ellie’s Girl | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Asdrubal | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shackette | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C Me Stride | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thisone’sforjimmy | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Okie Toast | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Dancerella | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Romancin N Dancin | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cosmologist | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saraab | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flash Forcast | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trading Cash | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway King | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Factor Me In | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pop Life | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’ve Got Heart | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Native d’Oro | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wise Eyes | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valentine Queen | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cinnfully Loud | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tour On | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brillant Mind | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nasty Native | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Lullaby | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iowa Hold’em | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Geertz’s Gal | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.