July 20, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Point Piper | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ground Rules | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avanti Bello | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muchos Besos | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excitations | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monsajem Pervade | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Gemini Journey | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jersey Buns | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tangled Up in Ju | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Student | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fruity (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coronado Cool | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Kendra | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sought More Pep | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Propeppy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ballerina Headline | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adios Cali | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Todos Santos | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dragon Flower | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rcatcanscat | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Myrcella | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Operandi | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Helen’s Tiger | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silverspun Pickup | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bold At Night | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silky Slew | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lacey’s Rainbow | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cioppino Pasadino | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maycee Jo | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marilyn’s Smile | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Party Hostess | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ciao Luna | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dee Way to Go | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Awesome E K | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hayne’s Pal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pacific Song | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Road | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blaze of Glory | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chatterman | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Colormemoney | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Curtain | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Wild Kingdom | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Johnny Ray | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Eleazar Warrior | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catch Fire | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Out to Sea | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Johnny Strong | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Chica La Habana (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Whirling | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pursuing The Dream (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Pulpit Rider | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luminoso | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Navajo Dreamer (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Window | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sappho (IRE) | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Streetwithnoname | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Movie Moment | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Strike | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nonna Gianna (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mybluebell (FR) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tinabud | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Irish Heatwave | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Oliver | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twisted Plot | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Takeo Squared | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Offshore Affair | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Calder Vale | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Koil | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Concord Jet | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Sal | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokey Pirate | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Teacher’s Treasure | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Osunitas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Barleysugar (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vexatious | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pyscho Sister | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Melissa Jane (GB) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Paradise Woods | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Compelled | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Fahan Mura | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Midnight Crossing (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Amboseli | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Evo Campo (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fizzy Friday (GB) | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Achira | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lynne’s Legacy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Drill Down Dude | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Creep | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Baby Frankie | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Two Fifty Coup | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lucky General | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Samurai Jack | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Asaltante | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Groove | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Don Ramon | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Palladium | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rockandahardplace | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Isn’t Right | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.