July 20, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kara’s Angel | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darlin Rosie | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Skip Fiji | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chosen Facts | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cooper’s Keeper | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Parading | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Antrim’s Giant | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Garey Park | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Commander | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Round Hill | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking Fast | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soloist | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bartbaalu | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peas and Carrots | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desani’s Chance | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valid Storm | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Way Home | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itching for Attack | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Larry Rocks | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ya Mon | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Riv | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kyzan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Restless Rambler | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Only Liquor | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gorgeous George | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Nyoman | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Afleet Spring | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hawk’s Image | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Oh So Terrible | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frozen Hannah | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Felt in Pocket | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tasseography | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo’s M V P | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lola’s the One | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dagney’s Warrior | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chlobee | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Devileye | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Moon Over Montana | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Intrepid Humor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hot Dad | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Sky Kowboy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Christian C | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Oakie Dokie | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’task Don’ttell | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Rally | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Pat’s Shoes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Harlan Selection (ARG) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Surf Shack | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patriot Drive | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear N Convincing | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Runningfromthefeds | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Savage Battle | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chipollino | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moonlight Mischief | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nate the Natural | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sonora Way | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Power | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dame of Thrones | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Annie Cat | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Littlesummerprairy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Like Katie | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Penny Slots | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Aura | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prada Storm | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jinvie | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.