July 19, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twitterati | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Jellybeankristine | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Watch Me Burn | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No Thanks Erik | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Portal Creek | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucille | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lakerzwin | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rak City | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Zombie | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gutsy Effort | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Welldidyougetit | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desolation Sound | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Latitude | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | June Two Four | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unusual Champ | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | G Q Covergirl | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Go On Mary | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pastime | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Invested Prospect | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | May Girl (GB) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Little Bit Me | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Painting Corners | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lake Time | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nine Point Nine | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laynee | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Surrender Now | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poster Girl (GB) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Robin’s Love | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cylinders | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lethal Legacy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Bit Dangerous | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Filomena | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Smiley Go | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Linda | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vacaville Special | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Our Tiger’s Boy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Valentine | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joejoe’s Kingdom | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bob’s All In | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockaway (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Nova | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quad | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Don’t Stalk Me | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Memorable Election | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Master Ruler | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ivy Mike | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocky Rogue | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | True Loyalty | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inscom | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soltero | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Eagle | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Musketier | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Groom | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Flip the Coin Jan | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Epical | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andesh (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | East Rand | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Like Violence | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buckstopper Kit | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Treasuring (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Steph Being Steph | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonshine Memories | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Show It N Moe It | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Secret Spice | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sum Reward | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Well Hello | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Dianka | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Weather Market | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Radish | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Oh Pretty Woman | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Venue | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marjorie E | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nothing But Heat | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charmingslew | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | London Hotel | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zillinda | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Has Angel Wings | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Full Court | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tizzy | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unusual Gold | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.