July 15, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Little Miss Julia 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Patriotic Endeavor 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Timely Tradition 1.80 3 6-1
3 3 Madame Barbarian 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Midnight Bounty 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 4 Majestic Kindness 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Aunt Babe 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Team of Teams 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Crimson Frost 1.20 SCRATCH
1A 1 Quidura (GB) 0.40 1.9 4-1
8A 5 Fifty Five 0.40 3.1 6-1
4 4 Delectation (GB) 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 My Impression 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Candy Store (IRE) 4.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Byself 0.80 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hay Field 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 No Hayne No Gayne 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Held Accountable 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Tiznow’s Smile 10.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ascender 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Danielle’s Pride 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Union Patriot 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Barrel of Destiny 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Gilda Marie 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 That’s Smart 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Lets Dance Some Mo 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Handle With Care 15.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mazmania 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Animauxselle 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Banty’s Girl 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 6 Final Form 4.00 4 7-1
2 2 Problem Solving 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Laura’s Patriot 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Tiffanys Freud 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Paranoia 8.00 6 11-1
6 5 Shanghai Glory 6.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Thank You So Much 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ten Eyck 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Joe’s Smokin Gun 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Space Captain 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Run for Boston 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Platinum Nugget 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 American Ninja 8.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Minus Two 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Man of Chrome 30.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Breathing Shadow 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Scrutinize 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Last Chant 30.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Blessed Honour 50.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Lynbrook S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sander’s Empire 30.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Positively Jean 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Native Dawn 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 6 She’s Trouble 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Tossup 3.50 4 8-1
6 5 Princess Pinky 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Icy Lady 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Midnitesalright 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Maiden Beauty 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Mystique 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Lila Ruth 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Spring Folly 1.20 2.7 5-1
6 4 Frosty Gal 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Peril 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Forever Daisy 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Puparee 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 6 Birthday Gift 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Golden Sequence 30.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Latin Love Bug 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Con Em 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Raging Fire 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Laura’s Posse 4.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Wheresthebarber 6.00 5.7 11-1
3A 3 Trinni Juice 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Big Horn Ranger 8.00 6.4 12-1
10A 9 Over Salty 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Mr. Skittles 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Blue Skies Forever 15.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.