July 15, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smart Like a Fox | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vapor Viper | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pleasant Street | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Purr’s Along | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maxi’s Taxi | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guard Your Grill | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | R Four O One K | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Looktheotherway | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hope N Wishes | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Road to Zanzibar | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | McKinli’sbabyblues | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doda Doodleallday | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heartspoke | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Dreamofjean E. | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lunar Approach | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pop By | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bizzee Mischief | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Soul Singer | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silvera | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gwendalyn Sue | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Itsagimme’s Girl | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Serenade | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diastole | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Klassy Karalynn | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Logi | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lookin At Vanessa | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lion Love | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greeley’s Special | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscarific | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greeleys Spirit | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Stein | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Breeze | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Assaulter | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr D’s Way | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | No Boundaries | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Singingintheheat | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Aktabantay (GB) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Commish | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bajan Rhythm | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Blue Note | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Iter | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Boom Box | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saidtomyself | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flashdance Road | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Prince Arlo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rio Seco | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fort Dixie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Mountain | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jericho | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Chicago Blues | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Smokinwatchstopper | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Dinner | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Croce d’Oro | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Producer | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Irish Proud | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Papa Caliente | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Taruca | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Atlas | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Omega Moon | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Superstar Leo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Student Body Left | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Wings | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alittlevodka | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karen’s Cove | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monday Pirate | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Cactus | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cast Iron | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.